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2024-12-14 11:58:35

There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.This move is still good for small-cap stocks, especially small-cap stocks with a new concept of specialization. Recently, the overall style of the market is still biased towards small-cap stocks, and there are more opportunities. If the market can stabilize and there is no sustained sharp decline, then everyone should focus on small-cap stocks, and there are more opportunities, especially the low-level ones that have just started.Today, from the time-sharing trend, the yellow and white lines basically keep running synchronously, which shows that the performance of both large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks in the market is relatively poor, and all the major component indexes have closed down, and the decline has all exceeded 1%. However, if we have to compare them, the decline of small-cap stocks is relatively small, such as micro-cap stocks, entrepreneurial small-cap stocks and CSI 2,000, with a decline of about 1.5%.


However, today's closing price has not fallen below the short-term trend line, which is almost the same. Today, the short-term trend line has closed at 3,391.33 points, and it will definitely not fall below 3,391 points next Monday. If it falls below, the short-term trend will be completely weakened, so it is necessary to further reduce the position. If it stays above 3,392 points, you can take a look again, so it depends on whether there is any good news over the weekend to support a repair on Monday.The mid-cap stocks of CSI 500 also fell below the offensive line today, initially weakening, and the small-cap stocks with a large market value of CSI 1,000 also fell below the offensive line. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks also weakened completely in the short term, and so did the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50. Therefore, when the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks weakened, the market pressure was relatively large. When the heavyweights stopped falling and stabilized, the market pressure was relatively small.In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.


The market rebounded for half an hour from 1: 30 to 2: 00, but when it rebounded to 3,425, it stopped abruptly, and it was almost the same without rushing up. If it could not stand on the offensive line, it could only turn its head down again, so it weakened again. The decline after 2 o'clock completely broke the hope of bottoming out today. At present, the index has returned to below the offensive line. The offensive line received 3,418.91 points today, and it will have to return to above 3,420 points at least next Monday, so that the short-term trend will have the possibility of getting better again, otherwise it will continue to be below the offensive line, that is, it will continue to weaken and cannot blindly intervene. Only in an upward trend can the index have a strong foundation.Market summary on FridayThere are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.

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